by Kamo
The first round of preseason games has come and gone with some rookies making a big splash and a certain quarterback in Pittsburgh looking surprisingly sharp in his first appearance. Speaking of looking sharp, how about those new jerseys in Minnesota- they make the color purple look even worse. We move to the NFC North and if last season taught us anything it is that this is no longer the rough and tumble division it used to be. This division from top to bottom might be the weakest in the NFC and it would surprise me to see more than one team challenge for a playoff berth. It is a sad truth considering this division is home to one of the best quarterbacks to ever play in
Brett Farve, who will likely be playing his last season. In addition, the Detroit Lions on paper have one of the most talented receiving corps in the NFL but will do nothing in the way of being very competitive. What you have here is an overabundance of wasted talent and poor personel decisions that have caught up to a few teams...
... which is why we will begin in Detroit where the aformentioned group of receivers will no doubt be under fire considering
Mike Martz has brought his circus offense to MoTown. I have sympathy for the fans in Detroit because
Matt Millen is the NFL's equivalent of Dave Littlefield and it is difficult to comprehend some of his personel moves. Exhibit A: He took receivers in his first pick for 3 consecutive drafts while all but ignoring his glaring holes at many defensive positions. That said,
Roy Williams is very good and I do think that
Mike Williams will be vastly improved this season and that basically gives them two monsters at receiver.
Charles Rogers is the wild card here though because you have to think he will be given more than ample opportunity to succeed in what should be a pass happy offense. The problem is that he is lazy and is in the Plaxico Burress mode except without a guy like Hines Ward to chirp at him and keep him in line so stay tuned to see how that one plays out. They also have
Corey Bradford available after they signed him away from Houston in the off-season and speedster
Eddie Drummond who could be used like Az Zahir-Hakim was in St. Louis. In the backfield, I really like
Kevin Jones and what he brings to the table because he runs so hard. Jones had over 1100 yards rushing last year with Joey Harrington as the main threat at QB, and with Martz as the OC I look for him to approach those numbers again and to really be a threat in the passing game. In addition, it never hurts to have a guy like
Cory Schlesinger as your blocking back as he is a perennial Pro-Bowler. At QB, it appears that
Jon Kitna will be the starter with another marginal guy in
Josh McKown as the backup. To me anything is an uprgrade over Harrington because he was among the worst in the entire NFL at making the right decision on any given play. Kitna played well when he was given the chance in Cincinnatti, but it has been awhile since he has been the full-time starter on a team which makes me wonder if he can do the job.
On defense the name of the game is depth and the Lions have very little of it in the quality department. Up front
Shaun Cody and
Shawn Rogers are two solid interior d-lineman who are somewhat of an odd couple. Rogers tips the scales at around 345 pounds while Cody is a bit small by today's standards at 293, but together they are able to make some plays. On the outside
Cory Redding is versatile as he can probably play any line position and
James Hall is quietly becoming a dominant pass rusher off the right end. From what I can see
Kalimba Edwards is the only reserve along the line who I would be comfortable stepping in a not seeing a dramatic drop-off in production. At linebacker, if
Boss Bailey can avoid injuries he has the makings of a breakout season written all over him but after Bailey there isn't much else.
Alex Lewis is probably just keeping a spot warm for
Ernie Sims, a player that I think was among the most overrated in the draft, and
Paris Lenon was a free-agent pickup from Green Bay but he doesn't give off the impression that he will be anything more than adequate. In the secondary,
Fernando Bryant and
Kenoy Kennedy are solid veterans as is
Dre' Bly, who is entering his 8th season and in my opinion gets better with age.
Terrence Holt will play free safety by default because the secondary might be the most thin of any unit on that defense.
Detroit LionsOffense - B-: This one is a tough one because for some reason I believe Mike Martz will get a lot of production out of those receivers and if he does there might not be a better group top to bottom in the NFL. Kevin Jones should be licking his chops in this offense and if Kitna makes a few plays and limits the mistakes they might not be bad.
Defense - C+: This grade might be a bit generous considering their lack of depth and quality playmakers among the linebacking group but having an athlete like Boss Bailey nudges them up a bit. The bottom line with the defense is that in any one area they are a pulled hamstring away from having someone who is just plain not very good in there.
Overall Outlook: I like Jon Kitna... as a backup. I just don't think this team has enough players to be consistent from week to week and the depth to me should be a major concern. Kevin Jones, Roy Williams, Bailey, and possibly Mike Williams will all have good years, but they have a lot of holes to fill at some important places. The verdict: They need a better QB for this offense and going much better than 5-11 or 6-10 would be outstanding.
We continue our look at the NFC North with a trip to Minnesota and a look at how new Head Coach
Brad Childress is working with less in Vikings camp. In the spring Childress essentially sent this message when trading franchise QB Duante Culpepper to the Dolphins: Do things my way or find a new place to do things. This approach is something that I have a lot of respect for but unfortunately for Childress and the Vikings he left the offense in the hands of
Brad Johnson, a player who has been in the league since the Oilers were still the Oilers and Jerry Glanville was coaching in Atlanta. To make matters slightly better for the passing game,
Troy Williamson will be entering his second season after ending up 3rd among rookies in receiving and
Koren Robinson is coming off a trip to the Pro Bowl- albeit as a kick returner. Throw in a couple veterans in
Travis Taylor and
Marcus Robinson and this group at least has some potential. The Vikings hopes on offense however rest on the broad shoulders of two big free agents brought in this past offseason:
Steve "The 49 Million Dollar Man" Hutchinson and
Chester "Thank God I am out of Baltimore" Taylor. Now I am not one to talk offensive lines, but Hutchinson is damn good and if you doubt that ask Stephen Alexander how things are going this season without him. Sprinkle in Taylor, a player many think is on the brink of stardom, and the Vikings have reason to think that Childress was on to something when he sent Culpepper packing.
On defense, I love what the Vikings have done through the draft in getting solid defensive lineman like
Kenechi Udeze, Darrion Scott, Erasmus James, and
Kevin Williams. If Udeze can bounce back from injury and James doesn't stunt his own growth this season, those two will be absolute studs. Scott is one of the better young backups to have and even
DeQuincy Scott provides a solid backup off the end. Inside there is
Kevin Williams and veteran
Pat Williams, who looks much bigger than his listed weight of 317 suggests. The depth along the interior is a cause for concern because those big guys can only play in spurts- something that should and probably will hold this defense back a bit. At linebacker
Ben Leber starts at one outside spot while
E.J. Henderson will be manning the position opposite him. Henderson has been getting some good reviews in camp but the player that excites me is rookie
Chad Greenway out of Iowa. This kid is Big Ten tested and he is as tough as anyone and if I was Ben Leber I wouldn't get too comfortable... except for the fact that Greenway was lost for the season Monday night against the Raiders which is no doubt a tough break for Minnesota. In the middle,
Napolean Harris was the player they got for Randy Moss and while he was limited by injuries in '05 he seems to have tremendous potential. I like what the Vikings have done in the secondary with
Darren Sharper obviously leading the way with his 9 interceptions from last season coming with him.
Fred Smoot can at least talk smack if he doesn't cover the guy and
Antoine Winfield has really established himself as one of the better tackling corners in the NFL. Veteran
Dwight Smith will play free safety and he is more than adequate but the safety I look to watch for is
Greg Blue out of Georgia. A lot of people say he is a little slow, but believe me- this guy can play as he is always around the ball and was a steal in the 5th round.
Minnesota VikingsOffense - B-: This offense isn't anything really special and the consistency won't be there because I honestly don't see Brad Johnson getting it going. With that said, Chester Taylor should-emphasis on should- have a big year but unless defenses respect the pass that won't automatically happen. I think he'll get 1,000 yards but I'm not sure how much more.
Defense - A-: I am feeling a little generous but I really like this defense and what they have in the way of a solid mix of young guys and veterans. Udeze and Erasmus James are going to be very good players and E.J. Henderson is going to be a good one. Sharper is one of the NFL's best and there aren't many holes in the secondary. The problem is they are going to have to give up less than 14 to keep them in it.
Overall Outlook: I think Brad Childress will get this thing going, but not this season. He needs a slightly better quarterback to run this offense and without a legitimate threat there I would load up against the run and make Johnson beat me. Childress is in a good position here because they have a good defense and Culpepper's image with his connection to the sex party was tarnished anyway. The verdict: They are a player or two away, but equaling last years 9-7 wouldn't be too bad. I think 8-8 and look out next season.
We head over to Chicago next where the Bears make me laugh outloud at their running back situation.
Thomas Jones, former #1 pick
Cedric Benson, and
Adrian Peterson (relax idiots, its not THAT Adrian Peterson) are in the mix for playing time. However, a look at
the Bears' depth chart suggests otherwise. Now I know there has been a few injuries but c'mon people, at least stick them on the depth chart where they belong. On the serious side, the injuries are a cause for major concern because this team won last year on defense- period. Chicago finished ahead of only San Francisco in total offense, an ill that needs to be cured if this team thinks it is going anywhere come playoff time. Enter
Brian Griese. Wait, Brian Griese? Yes, Brian Griese and for one reason: He will make
Rex Grossman better. Grossman is a good quarterback without a lot of experience on the field and with a lot of experience in the trainer's room as injuries have cost him time the past 3 years. I think having an entire training camp with
Mushin Muhammad is going to do a lot for him because that guy is an animal. He is so physical when going after the football and he runs excellent routes. The issue is that there is not an established #2 receiver and so he can expect a lot of double coverage. How to fix that? Get
Desmond Clark the football and make sure that, when healthy, Benson and Jones hammer it inside. The Bears are going to have to get physical in order to win- something
Lovie Smith understands.
Speaking of being physical, is there a better defense in the NFC (and possibly the league outside of Pittsburgh) than in Chicago? The answer: A resounding no. When talking about the Bears defense there is only one place to start-
Brian Urlacher. This guy is one of the top 5 defensive players in the NFL and there are few who can run and hit like him. He is a freak of nature and lining next to him is fellow Pro-Bowler
Lance Briggs, a player who is often overshadowed by the fact he plays beside a guy like Urlacher. Toss in
Hunter Hillenmeyer (don't let the Vanderbilt education and the prep school name fool you, this guy hits) and the linebackers leave little to be desired. The men up front who are responsible for allowing those 'backers to roam are pretty good as
Alex Brown and
Tommie Harris are young guys they got in the draft who are coming into their own. Add in
Adewale Ogunleye, whom they stole from the Dolphins, and
Alfonso Boone and then try to figure out how to run the ball. Oh, and they have a little depth too with
Dusty Dvoracek and
Jamaal Green being quality backups. In the secondary,
Mike Brown is a hitter who plays centerfield well against the pass while
Nathan Vasher and
Charles Tillman are underrated as corners. Throw in
Ricky Manning Jr. and the newly drafted
Devin Hester and this defense is absolutely stacked.
Chicago BearsOffense - B: The Bears offense doesn't need to be pretty, just effective. The formula for success is simple: Run it a lot, pass when needed, don't turn it over. This makes Grossman's job crucial because he can't be a cowboy and just throw it into places that the ball doesn't need to be thrown. He would be wise to study some tape of Ben Roethlisberger. One word for the offense: Physical.
Defense - A+: Not a better defense in the NFC and not a defense that is going to give up a lot against the run. Your best hope is to pick on the secondary, but Nathan Vasher and Charles Tillman are pretty good in their own regard. They fly to the ball and play well as a unit.
Overall Outlook: This team is undoubtedly the class of the division but where they go from there hinges on the offense's ability to score points. The defense will keep them in it most games and so they just need to come up with enough. Plus, they play in a division that is favorable in that it isn't very good so that will help. The verdict: 11-5 or 10-6 with a shot at winning 12 games but the November schedule is brutal. Playoff bound but how far remains to be seen.
And finally in the NFC North we head to Packertown as the fans in Green Bay get ready for what will likely be
Brett Farve's last season. As far as Farve goes, I have always admired the way the man plays the game because there are few who can rival him in both intensity and a will to win. With that said, in order for the Packers to have any chance of winning he is going to have to be vastly improved from his 2005 campaign. While I am willing to cut him some slack because of the loss of
Ahman Green in week 7 of last year, Farve is no doubt the leader of the offense and as he goes, so do the Packers and 29 INTs will not go very far. Speaking of Green, his return should put a smile on the face of every cheesehead because as good of a story as
Samkon Gado was, he will never be Ahman Green. So what do the Packers have on offense besides their two stars? Well, they have a pretty good TE in
Bubba Franks and two receivers who are more than capable in
Donald Driver and
Robert Ferguson. I think Farve has plenty of weapons to make it work, but can new coach
Mike McCarthy gel with Farve enough to make allow this to happen? I really don't know the answer to that question but this much is clear: In their first preseason game the Packers did not anything but show that they are far from where they need to be.
On the defensive side of things they got some help from
Charles Woodson, who signed as a free agent in May. Pair him up with
Al Harris and the Packers have one of the better cornerback combinations in the NFC. This secondary actually shapes up better than I thought with
Nick Collins (All-Rookie Team) and free agent pickup
Marquand Manuel (started in the Super Bowl) playing at the two safety spots and so I think their pass defense won't be too bad. The problem in the secondary is that outside of
Ahmad Carroll, there is nothing in the way of experienced depth which will undoubtedly pose a problem with Woodson having recent health concerns. At linebacker they have a beast in
Nick Barnett, who in 2005 had 194 tackles, a franchise record. They drafted
A.J. Hawk with the 5th pick in the draft and, much in the same mold as Chad Greenway, his style should fit in well in the Green Bay cold. The wild card here is
Ben Taylor who comes over from the Browns and can play all three linebacker spots although he is probably best suited for the outside. Taylor is another tackling machine as he had 139 last season in starting every game for Cleveland and if this unit comes together, they will be very quick and athletic. The biggest questions for the Packers defense comes up front as
Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila is their best, and possibly only, playmaker and is a good pass-rusher who is just 10.5 sacks away from Reggie White's club record.
Ryan Pickett and
Aaron Kampman ranked 1-2 in the NFL in tackles among defensive lineman, but I am uncertain that either is able to rush the passer or simply stuff the run. In addition, DT
Colin Cole has be waived twice in his career and so you can understand why the interior line is a big question mark.
Green Bay PackersOffense - B: I desperately want Farve to have a good year so the man can just ride off into the Louisiana sunset and retire but it will all depend on how Robert Ferguson decides to play and how well Ahman Green runs. Green is as important to Farve as any other player on the team and I look for him to get plenty of touches as he will come close to 1500 total yards this season.
Defense - B: The depth, or lack thereof, is a major cause of concern for me because Woodson has shown he is a little frail and they have a lot of no-names on their two-deep. Gabeer-Biamila has got to have a good season and Pickett is going to have to do a lot in the middle of the line because Colin Cole is not the answer there. The linebackers will be the strength with Hawk being dominant.
Overall Outlook: I think this entire organization knows that Brett Farve is done after this season and that it will be a rallying point. On the flip side, if they falter, his pending retirement could turn into a circus causing this team to tailspin and not finish much better than last year. With a new coach, a Hall of Fame QB, and a lot of questions a fast start to this season is a must. If they are worse than 2-2 after their first 4 they are in trouble. The Verdict: If they start out well, they will challenge but I don't think emotion can take them far. 9-7 and a possible Wild Card berth with some luck.
This division is interesting from the standpoint of how much has changed from last year. Their are new coaches and some new players which will make for some excitement in the season's opening weeks, but the bottom line is the Bears are still the class of the NFC North. Minnesota and Green Bay will challenge and Detroit will be excited about the Tigers until the Yankees beat them to get into the World Series. So, stay tuned where next time we will look at the NFC South: Is this the Panthers year? Will Michael Vick finally get the Falcons over the hump? Are the Buccaneers ready for primtime? And will Reggie Bush be Rookie of the Year? Until then, enjoy the Little League World Series.